© 2004 European Society of Cardiology
Rationale and design of the GISSI heart failure trial: a large trial to assess the effects of n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids and rosuvastatin in symptomatic congestive heart failure*
a Policlinico San Matteo, IRCCS, Pavia Italy
b Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri Milano, Italy
c Centro Studi ANMCO Firenze, Italy
d Ospedale Santa Maria degli Angeli Pordenone, Italy
e Ospedale San Michele G. Brotzu Cagliari, Italy
f Consorzio Mario Negri Sud Santa Maria Imbaro, Italy
* Corresponding author. Present address: GISSI-HF Co-ordinating Centre, Centro Studi ANMCO, Via La Marmora 34, Firenze, Italy. E-mail address: gissihf{at}anmco.it
| Abstract |
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Background: The GISSI Heart Failure project is a large-scale, randomized, double-blind study designed to investigate the effects of n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids and rosuvastatin on mortality and morbidity in patients with symptomatic heart failure.
Methods and results: Patients with New York Heart Association classes II to IV heart failure, already receiving optimized recommended therapy, will be recruited in a nation-wide network of more than 300 cardiology and internal medicine services to be randomly allocated to treatment with n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (1 g daily) or the corresponding placebo. Patients with no clear indication or contraindication to cholesterol-lowering therapy will be further randomized to receive low-dose rosuvastatin (10 mg daily) or placebo. According to data available in heart failure registries, it is expected that 70% of the patients will be suitable to enter both components of the trial, which assume the same co-primary endpoints: (a) 15% reduction of all-cause mortality and (b) 20% reduction of all-cause mortality or cardiovascular hospitalizations. The trial is event-driven and will continue either until at least 1252 deaths have been recorded or a reduction of all-cause mortality will satisfy the significance boundaries, which have been established to stop the study. The recruitment of the planned sample size of approximately 7000 patients randomized in the n-3 PUFA trial is expected to be completed within 18 months from the trial start. As of February 29, 2004, 4624 heart failure patients have been included in the trial.
Conclusion: The GISSI-HF project, with its protocol articulated into two independent randomization schemes, has the aim and the power to verify the hypothesis that n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids and rosuvastatin can favorably modify the prognosis of patients with symptomatic heart failure.
Key Words: Heart failure Polyunsaturated fatty acids Statins Mortality
Received September 12, 2003; Revised September 19, 2003; Accepted March 1, 2004
| 1. Introduction |
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The important decline in mortality rates from acute coronary syndromes due to major advances in the prevention and treatment of cardiovascular disease has been paralleled by the growing morbidity and mortality burden due to cardiac failure, despite the substantial advances in its pharmacological treatment and control [1–7]. Heart failure is a complex clinical syndrome, which is the final common pathway for several types of cardiac damage. While pharmacological treatments specifically targeted to the cardio-circulatory system and pathophysiological mechanisms have been largely investigated, few controlled data are available on the role of interventions which aim to reduce mortality and morbidity through the modification of other pathophysiological mechanisms from inflammation to gene regulation, which are thought to be associated with ventricular remodeling as well as with heart failure progression [1].
The GISSI Heart Failure Study (GISSI-HF) is a randomized, large-scale, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial to test, in addition to prescribed treatments, two pharmacological agents never formally assessed in symptomatic heart failure. These are, n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA), which are expected to exert a beneficial effect mainly through their antiarrhythmic properties, and rosuvastatin, which is evaluated for the increasing emphasized pleiotropic effects of statins, beyond their well-established lipid-lowering action [8].
| 2. Rationale |
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2.1. The n-3 PUFA hypothesis
The GISSI-Prevenzione trial showed that 3-year treatment with low-dose n-3 PUFA was associated with a significant 21% reduction of total mortality in patients who survived a recent MI [9]. A secondary analysis of the causes of death showed that, among all cardiac causes, the most affected by n-3 PUFA was sudden cardiac death and that the benefit on sudden death was already significant after 4 months of therapy [10]. An unpublished, post-hoc analysis of the GISSI-Prevenzione trial showed that, in nearly 2000 post-infarction patients with left ventricular dysfunction enrolled in the trial, the effects of n-3 PUFA on all-cause and sudden mortality were similar to those observed in the total population of the trial. Experimental, epidemiological, as well as small size human studies are consistent with these findings and support the hypothesis that n-3 PUFA can exert antiarrhythmogenic or antifibrillatory effects [11–19].
In addition to the antiarrhythmic effects, n-3 PUFA have a number of pleiotropic effects which could be important in heart failure [20]. For instance, n-3 PUFA have been shown to have anti-inflammatory effects in healthy volunteers, among them the synthesis of IL-1beta, IL-1alpha and TNF by circulating monocytes was reduced [21]. Pepe et al. recently showed that n-3 PUFA directly influenced heart function and improved cardiac responses to ischemia and reperfusion [22,23]. In particular, the administration of n-3 PUFA reduced oxygen consumption at any given workload output, increased post-ischemic recovery, and prevented ventricular fibrillation in reperfusion [22]. Long-chain n-3 fatty acids can increase the ability of the cardiac muscle to take up fatty acids into the mitochondria for energy production by increasing the expression of carnitine palmytoiltransferase I (CPT-I) and activating peroxisome proliferator activated receptors (PPAR-a) [24].
Recently, a case–control study on fish consumption showed that n-3 PUFA are protective against non-fatal myocardial infarction, a cause of possible worsening of heart failure [25]. Therefore, the hypothesis that n-3 PUFA can improve the outcome of patients with heart failure of any aetiology and any level of left ventricular function merits formal testing.
2.2. The statin hypothesis
Several trials have shown that statin treatment is associated with a significant reduction of cardiovascular events in patients at high risk, mainly in patients with documented coronary artery disease [26–29]. Recently, the Heart Protection Study demonstrated that statin therapy is effective in patients at high risk of ischemic coronary heart disease, irrespective of baseline cholesterol levels [29]. A post-hoc analysis of the 4S study showed that the use of statins in patients with coronary artery disease, but without heart failure, could prevent the occurrence of congestive heart failure [30]. Since the prevalent aetiology of heart failure is coronary artery disease, preventing heart failure progression may be related to the prevention of coronary artery disease. To date, only post-hoc, non-randomized, underpowered sub-analyses have been performed on this issue. In the ELITE-2 trial a lower mortality rate in patients with heart failure of any aetiology treated with statins (non-randomized comparison) was shown [31]. Of 897 patients with LV dysfunction/failure enrolled in the statin arm of the GISSI-Prevenzione trial, no safety problems were observed in the patients allocated to pravastatin and the favorable trend in total mortality reduction was similar among patients with and without left ventricular dysfunction. Therefore, while there is no direct evidence from randomized clinical trials, the above observations are highly suggestive and supportive of a formal test of the benefit of statins in patients with heart failure.
The so-called pleiotropic effects of statins are considered important in determining the observed benefit [32]. It has been hypothesized that the inhibition of HMG-CoA reductase not only affects cholesterol but, by limiting the synthesis of mevalonate-derived molecules, interferes with the synthesis of anti-inflammatory components, thus down-regulating cytokine and chemokine production, which is activated in patients with advanced heart failure due to any aetiology [32]. Statin treatment can also improve endothelial function which is largely compromised in patients with heart failure, irrespective of the underlying aetiology, and it is considered co-responsible for the multi-organ failure [33,34]. Recent experimental data suggest that statins can reduce the negative effects of angiotensin II on left ventricular remodeling independently of cholesterol reduction [35].
Statins, however, may have detrimental effects in patients with heart failure, since low serum cholesterol levels are independently associated with a worse prognosis in these patients [36], and a meta-analysis found a lower efficacy of older cholesterol-lowering drugs in trials including subjects with heart failure as compared with those which excluded these patients [37]. There are some suggestions indicating that high levels of cholesterol can be beneficial in patients with heart failure on the basis of the ability of serum lipoproteins to modulate inflammatory immune function, since cholesterol-rich lipoproteins can bind and detoxify bacterial lipopolysaccharide (LPS), whose production is increased in heart failure patients (endotoxin-lipoprotein hypothesis) [38]. LPS is a very strong stimulator of the release of pro-inflammatory cytokines, which may contribute to the progression of heart failure. By inhibiting the synthesis of mevalonate, statins can depress the production of ubiquinone, which is a central compound of the mitochondrial respiratory chain. Thus, statins could affect mitochondrial function and worsen the skeletal or cardiac muscle function. It is worthwhile to recall that the main adverse effect of statins is a toxic myopathy possibly related to mitochondrial dysfunction [39–42]. Therefore, the risk of myopathy associated with any statin administration could be a particular concern in patients with both an energy-inefficient, dilated failing heart with defective contractile function [1] and skeletal muscle structural and functional alterations creating a so-called heart failure myopathy.
| 3. Methods, general design, and study population |
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The primary objectives of GISSI-HF are to investigate whether long-term administration of n-3 PUFA and rosuvastatin is more effective than the corresponding placebo in the reduction of two co-primary end points: (a) all-cause mortality; and (b) all-cause mortality or hospitalizations for cardiovascular reasons.
The study is a multicentre, randomized, placebo-controlled design. Patients with symptomatic heart failure who are already being treated with optimal recommended therapies will be randomly allocated to the two following hypotheses:
Randomization 1 (R1): n-3 PUFA 1 g daily or corresponding placebo;
Randomization 2 (R2): rosuvastatin 10 mg daily or corresponding placebo.
The inclusion criteria are very broad: male and female patients with no age limitations can be admitted to the study if they have clinical evidence of heart failure of any aetiology classified according to the ESC guidelines as NYHA class II–IV [43], and provided they have their left ventricular EF measured within 3 months from enrolment. In case of ejection fraction >40%, at least one hospital admission for congestive heart failure in the previous year is required to meet the inclusion criteria.
The exclusion criteria shared by the two components of the study include (a) known hypersensitivity to study treatments; (b) conditions that in the opinion of the investigator would be associated with poor adherence to the protocol; (c) presence of any non-cardiac co-morbidity (e.g. cancer) unlikely to be compatible with a sufficiently long follow-up; (d) treatment with any investigational agent within 1 month before randomization; (e) acute coronary syndrome or revascularization procedure within 1 month; (f) planned cardiac surgery, expected to be performed within 3 months after randomization; (g) significant liver disease; and (h) pregnant or lactating women or women of childbearing potential who are not protected from pregnancy by an accepted method of contraception.
In addition to the aforementioned criteria, otherwise suitable patients will be excluded from the study if their background therapy includes: (a) for R1, an ongoing post-MI treatment with n-3 PUFA; (b) for R2, lipid-lowering therapy with statins.
Based on data available in the literature and in the IN-CHF database [44], it is estimated that up to 30% of R1 patients will be unsuitable to enter R2. Further, R1 patients cannot be randomized in R2 if the following conditions exist: (a) serum creatinine level >2.5 mg/dl; (b) ALT, AST level >1.5 times the upper normal limit; and (c) CPK levels above upper normal limit.
| 4. Trial organization and procedures |
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Patients will be randomized to receive one daily capsule of 1 g n-3 PUFA (850–882 mg eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) and docosahexaenoic acid (DHA) as ethyl esters in the average ratio of EPA/DHA 1:1.2) or matching placebo.
For patients randomized in R2, rosuvastatin and corresponding placebo will be supplied to the investigator in tablet formulation of 10 mg for oral use.
Allocation of patients to treatment groups will be accomplished via a telephone call-in system, and centrally approved at the study Coordinating Centre.
The ethical conduct of the study is regulated by the last revision of the Helsinki Declaration (2000) as well as the provisions of the Oviedo Convention (1997). The study complies with the Good Clinical Practice (GCP) principles and procedures, as described in the ICH Harmonized Tripartite Guidelines for Good Clinical Practice (1996), the Directive 91/507/EEC The Rules Governing Medicinal Products in the European Community, and the US 21 Code of Federal Regulations dealing with clinical studies (including parts 50 and 56 concerning informed consent and IRB regulations). Following the initial approval by the Ethical Committee of the Chairman's institution, the protocol must be approved by the local committees of the participating centers. Each patient will be duly informed of the trial objectives, study design, and risks and benefits of study participation as well as on his/her rights to the full respect of privacy and confidentiality rules, as set out in Italian law, which comply with and implement European Union regulations. A signed consent form will be collected for all patients.
After randomization, patients will be required to return to their reference center half-yearly for drug supply and for the scheduled visits at 1, 3, 6, 12 months and then every 6 months until the trial end. A common core of assessments (cardiovascular examination, vital signs, 12-lead ECG, compliance check, drug dispensation, serious adverse events assessment, and blood chemistry) will be undertaken at the study visits.
All treatments proven effective for the treatment of congestive heart failure will be positively recommended (specifically: ACE-inhibitors, beta-blockers, diuretics, digitalis, spironolactone). Patients can be treated with amiodarone, aspirin and/or oral anticoagulants according to the clinical decision of the attending physician.
| 5. Efficacy and safety evaluation |
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Two co-primary outcome measures have been established: time to death and time to death or cardiovascular hospitalization. Secondary outcomes include cardiovascular mortality; cardiovascular mortality or hospitalization for heart failure or for any reason; sudden cardiac death; hospitalization for any reason; hospitalization for cardiovascular reasons; hospitalization for heart failure; myocardial infarction; stroke.
All events recorded in the study will be adjudicated blindly by an ad-hoc Committee on the basis of pre-agreed definitions and procedures. Each report will include narrative summaries with supporting documentation for all events.
Serious adverse events (defined as fatal, life-threatening, requiring or prolonging hospitalization, permanently disabling or incapacitating, which may jeopardize the subject or which may require medical or surgical intervention) and which are suspected by the Investigator to be related to study medication will be reported to the study Coordinating Center within 24 h of notification of their occurrence. Serious adverse events not suspected by the Investigator to be related to study medication will be reported with the CRF and/or end-point documentation.
A policy of surveillance will be specifically focused on renal dysfunction (creatinine), liver dysfunction (ALT and AST enzymes, symptoms), myopathy (CK, symptoms), and gastrointestinal disorders (symptoms).
Specific attention will be focused on patients at high risk of adverse events and drug reactions, such as those with a serum creatinine level between 1.5 and 2.5 mg/dl, NYHA class IV, or aged more than 70 years. In addition to the planned clinical visits, two telephone calls 2 and 9 months after randomization are planned for these patients, in order to assess their health status. Specific tables containing information on safety aspects of these subgroups of high-risk patients will be periodically reviewed by the Data and Safety Monitoring Board (DSMB).
| 6. Statistical aspects |
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Due to the different inclusion criteria in R1 and R2 the patient samples will be different, the two hypotheses explored in GISSI-HF will, therefore be tested independently.
Since it is expected that 70% of R1 patients will be also enrolled in R2, the latter randomized cohort is taken as reference for sample size calculations. The expected 3-year death rate in the placebo group has been used for sample size calculation, since death is the harder and more conservative component of the established outcome measures (Table 1). As two co-primary efficacy end points will be analyzed, an adjustment for the overall
=0.05 will be made by setting an
of 0.045 for all-cause mortality and an
of 0.01 for the composite end point of all-cause mortality or cardiovascular hospitalization.
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According to an event-driven sample size calculation, to detect a 15% reduction in an expected mortality rate of 25% in the placebo arm with 90% power and a two-sided significance at the 0.045 level, at least 1252 deaths will be required [45,46].
The expected cumulative rate of death or hospitalization for cardiovascular reasons during 3 years of follow-up is expected to be between 40 and 45%. The minimum clinically relevant beneficial effect of the tested treatments on the cumulative endpoint is set at a 20% reduction of risk (Table 1). The number of patients to be recruited in both R1 and R2 will also be adequate to test the efficacy of n-3 PUFA and rosuvastatin for the analysis of the co-primary combined end point.
Efficacy in terms of all-cause mortality will be monitored using the sequential procedure of Peto [47]. There will be one interim analysis to assess efficacy, scheduled at approximately 1/2 of expected deaths. Accordingly, the corresponding significance level for evidence to stop the trial will be
<0.001. In case the level of significance set to stop, the trial at the interim analysis will be reached for one of the two cohorts, the study will be carried on only for the cohort in which the level of significance has not been reached [45]. Since the trial is event driven, follow-up will be continued until at least 1252 patient deaths have occurred in R2 or the reduction of all-cause mortality either in n-3 PUFA or rosuvastatin studies satisfies the significance level of P<0.001 which has been established as the efficacy criterion to stop the study prematurely.
The expected duration of follow-up is 4 years and the approximate expected number of patients to be recruited to test the efficacy of experimental treatments is 7000 for R1 and 5250 for R2 along an accrual period of at least 18 months.
Safety aspects will be monitored. No formal boundaries will be proposed, but clear, consistent, and persistent evidence of net harm that overwhelms any benefit will be made apparent to the DSMB.
The main analysis will be performed according to an intention-to-treat approach; therefore all patients randomized in the study will be included in the analysis. Baseline characteristics will be presented by treatment groups. Any unbalance for baseline characteristics thought to be of prognostic importance will be considered for multivariate adjustment in the subsequent analyses by using a Cox proportional hazards model with terms for fish-oil and rosuvastatin treatment. Results will be presented in terms of hazards ratios at their respective confidence intervals (i.e. 95.5 and 99%). Plots of the Kaplan–Meier estimates of the survival curves will be presented [48].
The existence of an effect modification in patients receiving both treatments, however, will be explored by fitting to the data a Cox proportional hazards model with terms for fish-oil, rosuvastatin and their interaction. If the term for interaction is non-significant, it will be removed from the model.
The consistency of the effect of tested treatments according to the risk profile of enrolled patients will be explored by: (a) carrying out subgroup analyses; (b) assessing the degree of the expected benefit through the categories of a score system taking into account all major prognostic indicators.
By using the combined outcome measure of all-cause mortality or hospital admission for cardiovascular reasons, the effects of the study drugs will be evaluated in the following predefined subgroups of patients: age (above/below the median value); left ventricular function (EF%>40% vs.
40%); aetiology (ischemic vs. non-ischemic); functional capacity (NYHA class II vs. III–IV); diabetes (yes vs. no); baseline total cholesterol levels (above/below the median value). The test of interaction between tested treatments and the predefined subgroups of patients (consisting in a model including each of the aforementioned variables, treatment and their interaction with treatment) will be carried out at the 5% significance level, being in the context of exploratory analyses in the framework of multivariate models allowing for possible unbalance for relevant prognostic covariates.
| 7. Discussion |
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Following its first formal presentation to the Italian cardiologic community in Summer 2001, the GISSI-HF protocol has successfully completed its feasibility and regulatory phases. Patient recruitment commenced in September 2002 and as of 29 February 2004, 4624 heart failure patients have been recruited in 345 centers. GISSI-HF has therefore translated into an ongoing program to investigate what the most recent literature [49] indicates is an interesting hypothesis.
Rosuvastatin testing is nested into the broader population of symptomatic heart failure patients randomized to assess the efficacy of another innovative approach with n-3 PUFA.
Following the long tradition of GISSI studies [50], the evaluation of the two experimental treatments incorporates a recruitment strategy extended to a highly representative sample of the hospital and ambulatory care facilities where heart failure patients are treated.
To ensure that the trial is truly testing an add-on benefit with respect to the existing evidence-based treatments, the trial is framed in a program of optimization of the background care, which is promoted and supported with ad hoc information and educational material provided to all participating centers. Along this line, patients who have a positive indication for either of the experimental treatments are excluded from randomization. The legitimacy of testing a primarily non-lipid lowering indication for a statin against placebo, is in concordance with the position and recommendations of the British National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE), which underline the absence of data directly supporting an indication for statins in heart failure patients, even for those with ischemic aetiology.
A few carefully selected and designed sub-projects have been incorporated into the main study to explore: (a) ventricular remodeling, with a protocol centered on echocardiography and a planned sample size of 800 subjects; (b) the behavior and the role of biohumoral markers (BNP, CRP, PTX3, lipids including n-3 and n-6 PUFA; planned size, 800 patients); (c) the incidence and the profile of arrhythmias and autonomic profile (Holter monitoring in a sample of 750 patients); (d) exercise capacity (in 400 patients). Further, a comprehensive assessment of the prevalence, incidence, and impact on outcomes of quality of life, depression, cognitive function (measured at each clinical visit with the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire, the Geriatric Depression Scale, and the Mini mental State Evaluation) in patients aged >70 years is foreseen in a subpopulation of at least 3000 patients.
It is proposed that, through modification of lipids in cell membranes for n-3 PUFA and in the blood for rosuvastatin, the treatments tested in GISSI-HF can decrease the risk of arrhythmic and ischemic events which in turn can decrease mortality and morbidity in heart failure. In addition, the pleiotropic effects of n-3 PUFA and rosuvastatin can favorably affect various mechanisms involved in the progression of heart failure [1] from abnormalities in energy metabolism, through altered expression or function of contractile proteins and abnormalities of excitation–contraction coupling, to ventricular hypertrophy, remodeling and neurohormonal changes. Such actions of n-3 PUFA and statins, however, have only been shown in bench research using different experimental conditions, with in vitro or ex vivo experimental models. Their relevance in humans is still unknown, particularly so in heart failure patients who are already treated with a number of drugs of proven efficacy and with possibly overlapping mechanisms of action.
Several interventions have been shown in controlled clinical trials to be useful in limited cohorts of patients with heart failure (e.g. aldosterone antagonists, angiotensin receptor blockers, hydralazine and isosorbide dinitrate, and exercise training). GISSI-HF will help to clarify whether the management of heart failure might justifiably be expanded to include n-3 PUFA and rosuvastatin in addition to the aforementioned treatments.
7.1. Organization
The GISSI-HF study is sponsored by the GISSI group who has, therefore the full responsibility not only for the formulation, but also for the overall conduct of the study, including onsite monitoring, and the utilization of the results. A pool of financial grants has been assured by the companies which are the owners and the suppliers of the study drugs (Pharmacia-Upjohn, Sigma-Tau, and Società Prodotti Antibiotici supply capsules containing 850-882 mg EPA/DHA ethyl esters; Rosuvastatin is supplied by Astra-Zeneca).
7.1.1. Steering committee
Luigi Tavazzi (chair), Gianni Tognoni (co-chair), Maria Grazia Franzosi, Roberto Latini, Aldo Pietro Maggioni, Roberto Marchioli, GianLuigi Nicolosi, and Maurizio Porcu.
7.1.2. Trial management and secretariat
Barbara Bartolomei Mecatti, Elisa Bianchini, Marco Gorini, Andrea Lorimer, Giampietro Orsini, Paola Priami (Centro Studi ANMCO); Giuseppina Di Bitetto, Luisa Galbiati, (Istituto Mario Negri); Barbara Ferri, Anna Flamminio, Carla Pera (Consorzio Mario Negri Sud).
7.1.3. Statistics
Simona Barlera, Donata Lucci, Roberto Marchioli.
7.1.4. Monitoring activities
Francesca Bianchini, Ilaria Cangioli, Martina Ceseri, Arianna Tafi (Centro Studi ANMCO).
7.1.5. End point evaluation committee
Enrico Geraci (chair), Marino Scherillo (co-chair), Franco Cobelli, Gianna Fabbri (Coordinator), Claudio Fresco, Giacomo Levantesi, Cristina Opasich, Franco Rusconi, Gianfranco Sinagra, Fabio Turazza, and Alberto Volpi.
7.1.6. Data and safety monitoring board
Salim Yusuf (chair), Fulvio Camerini, Jay N. Cohn, Adriano De Carli, Bertram Pitt, Philip Poole-Wilson, and Peter Sleight.
| Notes |
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GISSI-HF Investigators: GISSI—Gruppo Italiano per lo Studio della Sopravvivenza nell'Insufficienza Cardiaca—is endorsed by Associazione Nazionale Medici Cardiologi Ospedalieri—ANMCO—and by Istituto di Ricerche Farmacologiche Mario Negri. | References |
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